Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:28:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9866…7155
crypto · 279 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,173 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,175 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$690
Realized−$2,175
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses154 / 432
Open positions1
Markets (closed)586 / 279
History coverage3d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day1008.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 586 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,312
7 days−$2,175
14 days−$2,175
30 days−$2,175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $206 $351 +$146 (+71%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $134 $325 +$191 (+143%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 41¢ 10¢ $24 $6 −$18 (-74%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 56¢ 90¢ $3 $4 +$2 (+60%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $117 −$117 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $906 −$906 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$767
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $22 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-56.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 586 -51.4% -56.1% 26% 17% -17.4%
≤30d 586 -51.4% -56.1% 26% 17% -17.4%
≤90d 586 -51.4% -56.1% 26% 17% -17.4%
all 586 -51.4% -56.1% 26% 17% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1008.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.1% 17% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -60.3% 11% -25.3%
15% -64.1% 6% -32.5%
20% -67.6% 4% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $690.36 · official $691.09 (match) · 3500 history records