Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:49:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9888…e6fe
sports · 1079 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,031 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,108 · open −$77
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$479
Realized+$2,108
Unrealized−$77
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses553 / 704
Est. fees paid−$906
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1257 / 1079
History coverage29d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day94.4
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 1257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$656
7 days+$163
14 days+$1,369
30 days+$2,108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 46¢ 100¢ $156 $337 +$181 (+116%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 45¢ 42¢ $73 $67 −$6 (-8%)
Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Wang Wang 25¢ 50¢ $20 $40 +$20 (+100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 64¢ 72¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+12%)
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Jovic/Kessler vs Dabrowski/Stefani Dabrowski/Stefani 69¢ 44¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-37%)
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Guo/Mladenovic Aoyama/Liang 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Ofner vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5 Under 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 45¢ 0¢ $71 $1 −$70 (-99%)
Berrettini vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 38.5 Under 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Andre Ilagan Yunchaokete Bu 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Set 1 Winner: Ruiz vs Medvedev Ruiz 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Jiujiang: Coleman Wong vs Fajing Sun Coleman Wong 72¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Bartunkova Svitolina 16¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+525%)
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Benjamin Bonzi 37¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+170%)
Gaston vs. Monfils: Match O/U 38.5 Over 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Arends/Pel 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Diana Shnaider 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jakub Mensik 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+78%)
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura Braden Shick 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Hanfmann/Struff vs Kirkov/Miedler Kirkov/Miedler 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Lisa Pigato 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open (Doubles): Gille/Verbeek vs Pavlasek/Rikl Gille/Verbeek 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ostrava: Rudolf Molleker vs Henri Squire Henri Squire 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Linda Fruhvirtova 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Agut vs Martinez Martinez 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ofner vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Andre Ilagan Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Ruiz vs Medvedev Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Jiujiang: Coleman Wong vs Fajing Sun Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Bartunkova Jun 12 $0 $0 +525%
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ostrava: Rudolf Molleker vs Henri Squire Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Agut vs Martinez Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Moutet vs. Ruiz: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Kasatkina Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Jiujiang: Tung-Lin Wu vs Rigele Te Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Aleksandar Vukic vs. Patrick Kypson: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazzaville: Karan Singh vs Digvijaypratap Singh Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Siegemund vs Pliskova Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Osaka vs Swiatek Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Paolini vs Mertens Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Zagreb: Luka Mikrut vs Justin Engel Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Cordoba: Thiago Cigarran vs Gonzalo Villanueva Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palan Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs Hong Kong, China Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Svrcina vs Kecmanovic Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Noemi Basiletti vs. Ajla Tomljanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Kessler vs Jovic Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Siniakova vs Kalinskaya Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Bublik Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Francavilla: Max Schoenhaus vs Zdenek Kolar Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Zheng Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Franco Ribero Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islan Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Andreeva Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Martinez vs Royer Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Wu vs Te Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Harry Wendelken Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Mayar She Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Mauthausen: Tomas Barrios vs Lukas Neumayer Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Lilli Tagger vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korn Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bergs vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Gerard Campana Lee Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Sasnovich vs Blinkova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Valencia: Damir Dzumhur vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3,863
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 45¢ $74 2m
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Jovic/Kessler vs Dabrowski/Stefani BUY Dabrowski/Stefani 69¢ $4 16m
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Hanfmann/Struff vs Kirkov/Miedler BUY Kirkov/Miedler 47¢ $2 32m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 64¢ $23 37m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 49¢ $56 44m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 35¢ $16 1h
Jiri Lehecka vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 69¢ $49 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 47¢ $7 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 45¢ $72 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 47¢ $79 1h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 36¢ $9 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 61¢ $33 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 12¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 7¢ $12 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 6¢ $8 1h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 72¢ $7 1h
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 32¢ $33 2h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 50¢ $20 2h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 11¢ $1 2h
Set 1 Winner: Romano vs Jones BUY Jones 79¢ $128 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 61¢ $41 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 49¢ $80 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 54¢ $88 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 42¢ $11 2h
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 49¢ $50 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 26¢ $43 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 29¢ $48 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 26¢ $0 2h
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 53¢ $54 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 33¢ $54 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 481 -35.9% -42.0% 31% 29% -8.9%
≤30d 1257 -10.2% -18.8% 44% 40% -6.8%
≤90d 1257 -10.2% -18.8% 44% 40% -6.8%
all 1257 -10.2% -18.8% 44% 40% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 40% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 34% -15.7%
15% -33.6% 28% -23.9%
20% -40.1% 22% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $478.67 · official $472.85 · 3500 history records