trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $45 | $45 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $868 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,745 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $870 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $871 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $1,762 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $1,763 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $872 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $879 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $880 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $882 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $882 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $1,777 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $1,787 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $884 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $887 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $886 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $890 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $1,683 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $902 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $1,809 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $904 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $905 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $907 | −$1 | -0% |