trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 17% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 40% | 7% | -7.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 40% | 7% | -7.2% |
| all | 24 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 54% | 4% | -7.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 4% | -7.3% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 4% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 0% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 0% | -31.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | $59 | $56 | −$3 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $42 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $60 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $58 | +$1 | +1% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 12 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $60 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 08 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $53 | +$16 | +30% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 05 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 28 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |