Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:04:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9895…3870
other · 2377 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$361 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$339
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$370
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$339
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses2 / 131
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions371
Markets (closed)133 / 2377
History coverage8d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day405.3
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 371 History 133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$22
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $14 +$14 (+49850%)
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $14 +$14 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $14 +$14 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2? Under 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner TEC Esports 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+49850%)
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Nerve of Cow 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+49900%)
StarCraft II: Cure vs sOs - Map 1 Winner sOs 0¢ 47¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+47200%)
Counter-Strike: BRAWLSTARS vs Clutchain Female (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Clutchain Female 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$11 (+49900%)
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+49850%)
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5) Samsonova 0¢ 44¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+43650%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+49850%)
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County? Yes 0¢ 97¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+96850%)
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes 0¢ 82¢ $0 $9 +$9 (+81450%)
Blinkova vs. Jovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 0¢ 29¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+29150%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? Yes 0¢ 49¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+48900%)
Friedsam vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5 Over 0¢ 42¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+42200%)
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5) Weibo Gaming 0¢ 24¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+23500%)
ITF Gaborone: Tanisha Kashyap vs D'Estree Colalancia DEstree Colalancia 0¢ 49¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+49350%)
Set Handicap: Cecchinato (-1.5) vs Sakellaridis (+1.5) Sakellaridis 0¢ 41¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+40500%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+49399%)
Set Handicap: Zidansek (-1.5) vs Friedsam (+1.5) Zidansek 0¢ 49¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+49349%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $116 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Will Power win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Nikki Gronli be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH" win Palme d'Or at Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Nope" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Samsunspor? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will MIBR win CS Asia Championships 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tennille R. McCoy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Vegalta Sendai 1 - 3 Yokohama FC? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $347,000 and $348,000 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Fil Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the next Maltese gener Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will paiN Gaming Academy win CD 2026 Split 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 27? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nel Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Drake have exactly 1 song in the Billboard top 10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will there be 6 or more major space weather events this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 100% $0
other 0% +$182
crypto 0% +$1
weather 0% $0
tech 0% +$3
politics 0% +$8
sports 0% +$157
world 0% $0
finance 0% +$10
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control O BUY Yes 0¢ $0 35m
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by bet BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the re BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Will Altimont Wilks be the Democratic nominee for MD-06? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Will Altimont Wilks be the Democratic nominee for MD-06? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash ra BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Iván Cepeda win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round o BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
Will Bay Area Breakers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb BUY Yes 0¢ $0 13h
Will Bay Area Breakers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb BUY Yes 0¢ $0 13h
Will Bay Area Breakers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb BUY Yes 0¢ $0 13h
Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 13h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 13h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 13h
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14h
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14h
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-70.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -60.2% -64.0% 2% 2% -9.5%
≤30d 133 -67.7% -70.7% 2% 2% -9.5%
≤90d 133 -67.7% -70.7% 2% 2% -9.5%
all 133 -67.7% -70.7% 2% 2% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover405.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -70.7% 2% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -73.5% 2% -18.2%
15% -76.1% 2% -26.1%
20% -78.4% 2% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $370.19 · official $370.20 (match) · 3500 history records