Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9899…387b
crypto · 810 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$331 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$384 · open −$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$322
Realized+$384
Unrealized−$53
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses544 / 262
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions3
Markets (closed)806 / 810
History coverage51d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$588
7 days+$2,669
14 days+$1,253
30 days+$1,023
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 66¢ 64¢ $250 $244 −$6 (-2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 12¢ 6¢ $75 $40 −$35 (-46%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Over 24¢ 18¢ $50 $37 −$13 (-26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $184 −$180 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $162 +$50 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$9 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +40%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $454 +$49 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $325 −$320 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$38 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $120 −$116 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$12 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$132 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$39 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $128 −$126 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$36 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $162 +$42 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $305 +$201 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$20 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $436 +$128 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $242 +$111 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$28 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$30 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $163 +$44 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $360 +$145 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$24 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $293 −$284 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$12 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $393 +$108 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $126 −$19 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$33 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $45 +$16 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $69 +$37 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $383 +$122 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$56 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $383 −$376 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$43 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $261 +$81 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$28 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $354 +$132 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $120 −$116 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$4 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$29 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $154 +$48 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$11 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $205 +$57 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$55 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $163 +$45 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $222 +$100 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$635
sports 1% −$220
other 0% −$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 66¢ $253 6m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 7¢ $26 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 24¢ $51 41m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $51 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $49 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $63 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $68 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $58 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $61 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $34 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $61 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $61 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $81 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $81 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $81 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $81 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $34 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $61 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $59 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 249 +6.3% -3.8% 73% 72% -2.0%
≤30d 666 -2.4% -11.7% 70% 68% -8.0%
≤90d 806 -3.7% -12.8% 67% 65% -9.0%
all 806 -3.7% -12.8% 67% 65% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 65% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 50% -17.7%
15% -28.8% 32% -25.6%
20% -35.8% 21% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $321.74 · official $321.87 (match) · 3500 history records