Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x989c…1b6c
crypto · 13 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$14 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses7 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$10 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +21.8% +10.2% 54% 54% +19.3%
≤30d 13 +21.8% +10.2% 54% 54% +19.3%
≤90d 13 +21.8% +10.2% 54% 54% +19.3%
all 13 +21.8% +10.2% 54% 54% +19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.2% 54% +19.3%
10% -0.3% 54% +7.9%
15% -10.0% 54% -2.5%
20% -18.8% 54% -12.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 25 history records