Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:23:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x98a7…869a crypto 512 markets active 3d ago coverage 34d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$115 (-5%) realized −$115 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR71%break-even
Win rate74%379W / 133L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day19.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$47
14 days−$47
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$56
other 5% −$33
world 2% −$47
politics 1% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -1.6% -11.0% 72% 72% -14.3%
≤30d 376 -2.1% -11.4% 73% 73% -14.4%
≤90d 512 -3.6% -12.8% 74% 71% -15.1%
all 512 -3.6% -12.8% 74% 71% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 71% -15.1%
10% -21.1% 61% -23.2%
15% -28.7% 19% -30.6%
20% -35.7% 4% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses379 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)512 / 512
History coverage34d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 512 Trades
no open positions (128 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +53%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 967 history records