Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:00:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98bf…65de
other · 21 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$53 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized−$54
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses1 / 13
Open positions7
Markets (closed)14 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 7 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$54
14 days−$54
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 26¢ $20 $37 +$17 (+86%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 7¢ 20¢ $10 $29 +$19 (+186%)
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $10 $22 +$12 (+124%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $41 +$226 +550%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $36 −$35 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $41 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $41 13h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 13h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $36 13h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $51 13h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 35h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 35h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $31 35h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 35h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 35h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-58.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -53.6% -58.0% 7% 7% -24.8%
≤30d 14 -53.6% -58.0% 7% 7% -24.8%
≤90d 14 -53.6% -58.0% 7% 7% -24.8%
all 14 -53.6% -58.0% 7% 7% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -58.0% 7% -24.8%
10% -62.0% 7% -32.0%
15% -65.7% 7% -38.6%
20% -69.0% 7% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.57 · official $88.57 (match) · 22 history records