Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:55:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98db…dd17
sports · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$15,907 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33,866 · open −$17,960
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$61,733
Realized+$33,866
Unrealized−$17,960
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses54 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$1,834
Open positions38
Markets (closed)76 / 108
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,664
Trades / day3295.4
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 38 History 76 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33,866
7 days+$33,866
14 days+$33,866
30 days+$33,866
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 41¢ 100¢ $5,423 $13,098 +$7,675 (+142%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 46¢ 100¢ $3,885 $8,449 +$4,564 (+117%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 46¢ 57¢ $5,970 $7,445 +$1,475 (+25%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 82¢ 59¢ $7,369 $5,296 −$2,073 (-28%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 58¢ 83¢ $3,502 $4,987 +$1,485 (+42%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Thijs Boogaard 38¢ 41¢ $3,831 $4,085 +$254 (+7%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 66¢ 42¢ $4,221 $2,713 −$1,509 (-36%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 71¢ 84¢ $1,566 $1,846 +$280 (+18%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 79¢ 100¢ $1,245 $1,579 +$334 (+27%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 33¢ 36¢ $1,438 $1,543 +$105 (+7%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 58¢ 58¢ $1,180 $1,187 +$7 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 62¢ $1,034 $1,048 +$14 (+1%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 65¢ 66¢ $893 $906 +$14 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 46¢ 42¢ $923 $842 −$82 (-9%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 74¢ 64¢ $891 $773 −$118 (-13%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 83¢ 100¢ $641 $766 +$125 (+19%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 43¢ 17¢ $1,936 $759 −$1,177 (-61%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 27¢ 47¢ $369 $643 +$274 (+74%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 57¢ 76¢ $432 $575 +$142 (+33%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 46¢ 56¢ $462 $573 +$110 (+24%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 50¢ 44¢ $436 $381 −$54 (-12%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 53¢ 52¢ $289 $288 −$1 (-0%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 78¢ $257 $260 +$3 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 74¢ 76¢ $210 $214 +$4 (+2%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 55¢ 53¢ $219 $210 −$10 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Kosice: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Caroline Werner Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Libema Open (Doubles): Goransson/King vs Balaji/Ram Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $15,327 −$1,480 -10%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $1,548 +$251 +16%
Libema Open (Doubles): Detiuc/Khromacheva vs Aoyama/Liang Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $4,512 +$1,367 +30%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $17 −$7 -42%
Ilkley (Doubles): Corley/Ngounoue vs Brooks/Rajecki Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Haverlag/Lumsden Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Lehecka/Moutet vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 12 $12 +$4 +30%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 12 $1 +$26 +2881%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $169 +$13 +8%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $4,521 +$5,008 +111%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $6,811 +$1,789 +26%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic Jun 12 $26 −$8 -31%
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $14 +$4 +29%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $1,795 +$397 +22%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $510 +$28 +6%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $9 −$4 -47%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $3,138 −$449 -14%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $3,253 +$792 +24%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $10 +$2 +26%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $25 +$9 +38%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $55 −$5 -9%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $60 +$4 +7%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $106 +$11 +11%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $95 +$16 +17%
ITF Wuning: Anchisa Chanta vs Mai Hontama Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $1,787 −$1,025 -57%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $6,923 −$1,807 -26%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $3,384 +$1,649 +49%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $5,462 +$985 +18%
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Appleton/Pridankina Jun 11 $8 +$5 +54%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $1,287 +$191 +15%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $829 +$77 +9%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $13,805 −$1,771 -13%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $1,328 −$11 -1%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $2,805 +$47 +2%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Denisa Zoldakova vs Raluca Georgiana Serban Jun 11 $11 −$4 -39%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $521 −$47 -9%
Libema Open (Doubles): Balaji/Ram vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 11 $1 +$233 +20054%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Jana Kovackova Jun 11 $19 +$1 +7%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $855 +$268 +31%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 11 $14 +$2 +13%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $795 +$231 +29%
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Kuwata/Sawangkaew Jun 11 $7 +$5 +67%
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$15,905
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 33¢ $5 0m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 34¢ $2 0m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 35¢ $36 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 33¢ $140 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 33¢ $3 0m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 36¢ $36 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 68¢ $67 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 65¢ $6 1m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 48¢ $6 1m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 55¢ $79 2m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 76¢ $5 2m
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Savannah Broadus BUY Matilde Jorge 20¢ $1 3m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 54¢ $11 3m
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Bublik/Kyrgios BUY Bublik/Kyrgios 70¢ $5 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $115 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 76¢ $90 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 76¢ $12 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $89 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $6 3m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 19¢ $60 4m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 54¢ $37 4m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 16¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 74¢ $28 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 74¢ $20 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 73¢ $45 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 74¢ $39 5m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 74¢ $0 5m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $39 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 77¢ $77 7m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 24¢ $1 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+84.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +104.1% +84.7% 71% 58% +16.8%
≤30d 76 +104.1% +84.7% 71% 58% +16.8%
≤90d 76 +104.1% +84.7% 71% 58% +16.8%
all 76 +104.1% +84.7% 71% 58% +16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3295.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +84.7% 58% +16.8%
10% +67.0% 41% +5.6%
15% ← realistic here +50.9% 28% -4.6%
20% +36.1% 24% -14.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61,732.80 · official $61,660.75 (match) · 3500 history records