Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:22:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x98dc…dc19 world 8 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care world specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (110 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$648per market
Trades / day109.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
world 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 8 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 8 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 8 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover109.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
7.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$648
Trades / day109.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 8 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 12 $1,803 −$2 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 12 $1,695 −$2 -0%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $598 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $580 −$1 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 11 $103 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $207 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $96 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $100 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $99 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $100 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $99 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $100 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $99 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $100 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $100 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $100 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $101 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $102 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $99 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $100 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $98 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $99 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $100 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $101 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $101 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $101 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $101 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $101 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $101 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $101 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $99 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $99 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 99¢ $100 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $100 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $35 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $15 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $19 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $66 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 113 history records