Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:50:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98f5…754f
crypto · 636 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$43,150 +140%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,368 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$76
Realized+$2,368
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses424 / 495
Whale WR (big bets)12%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 636
History coverage21d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day146.0
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,881
7 days−$14,995
14 days−$4,977
30 days+$2,368
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $28 $54 +$26 (+91%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+71%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 5¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1900%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 7¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1329%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 5¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1900%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 20¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+400%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 5¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1900%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 5¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1900%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 29¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+245%)
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 5¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1899%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $377 $0 −$377 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +71%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +54%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +45%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1329%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +400%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1908%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +245%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +54%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $111 −$111 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $656 −$656 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $183 −$183 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $401 −$401 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$40 -207%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$13,076
other 12% +$12,380
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $39 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $9 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $12 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $21 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $42 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $62 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $45 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $45 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+71.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 572 +13.7% +2.8% 32% 32% -51.8%
≤30d 919 +89.6% +71.6% 46% 46% -19.2%
≤90d 919 +89.6% +71.6% 46% 46% -19.2%
all 919 +89.6% +71.6% 46% 46% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover146.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +71.6% 46% -19.2%
10% ← realistic here +55.1% 46% -26.9%
15% +40.2% 42% -34.0%
20% +26.4% 40% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $76.32 · official $68.74 · 3500 history records