Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98f8…394d
crypto · 122 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$177 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$151 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$302
Realized−$151
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses79 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)117 / 122
History coverage20d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days−$155
14 days−$155
30 days−$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 52¢ 50¢ $150 $146 −$4 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 69¢ 80¢ $71 $83 +$11 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 76¢ 64¢ $50 $42 −$8 (-16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 65¢ 38¢ $50 $29 −$21 (-43%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 18¢ 7¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$32 -32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$8 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$160 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$8 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$23 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$11 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$16 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$19 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$33
other 6% −$78
sports 4% −$122
weather 2% +$23
world 1% −$30
finance 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $29 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -16.3% -24.3% 67% 41% -12.5%
≤30d 117 -15.7% -23.7% 68% 41% -12.5%
≤90d 117 -15.7% -23.7% 68% 41% -12.5%
all 117 -15.7% -23.7% 68% 41% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.7% 41% -12.5%
10% -31.0% 16% -20.8%
15% -37.7% 10% -28.5%
20% -43.8% 5% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $301.60 · official $274.92 · 323 history records