Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:09:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9900…197c
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses21 / 42
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)63 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day197.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 62¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$6
sports 27% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 64¢ $1 2m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 64¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 60¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 4m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 57¢ $0 6m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 56¢ $0 6m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 60¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 19m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 56¢ $0 20m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 48¢ $0 20m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 56¢ $0 20m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 48¢ $1 20m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 56¢ $1 21m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 56¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 34m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 55¢ $0 37m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 55¢ $1 37m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 55¢ $1 37m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 55¢ $1 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -9.7% -18.3% 33% 17% -18.1%
≤30d 63 -9.7% -18.3% 33% 17% -18.1%
≤90d 63 -9.7% -18.3% 33% 17% -18.1%
all 63 -9.7% -18.3% 33% 17% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover197.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 17% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 17% -26.0%
15% -33.3% 10% -33.1%
20% -39.8% 8% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.20 · official $3.20 (match) · 198 history records