Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:52:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x9907…ca66 other 1506 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (159 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$398 (+2%) realized +$395 · open +$3
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate97%1452W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day159.2pace
Kalshi-fit47%portable
Net worth$65now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$93
14 days−$63
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 59% −$58
crypto 41% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (159 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 457 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 3% -8.9%
≤30d 1501 -0.6% -10.0% 97% 3% -9.8%
≤90d 1501 -0.6% -10.0% 97% 3% -9.8%
all 1501 -0.6% -10.0% 97% 3% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover159.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 3% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 1% -18.4%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$13 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$65
Realized+$395
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1452 / 49
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1501 / 1506
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day159.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 1501 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $46 $48 +$3 (+6%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $34 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $78 +$6 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $52 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $77 +$3 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $74 +$6 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$2 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $37 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $118 +$3 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $48 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$1 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $86 +$6 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$8 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $57 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $37 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $65 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $58 +$4 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $38 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $46 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $52 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $52 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $26 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $52 23m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 28m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $26 37m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $23 42m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $41 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $49 42m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 48m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $37 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $43 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $47 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 52m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 57m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $33 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.17 · official $39.44 · 3500 history records