Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T04:36:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x990f…9597 other 96 markets active 2h ago coverage 243d
TRAPdo not copy Fading edge
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$274 (-4%) realized −$274 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +6% what you keep after slip
Net edge+6%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate45%40W / 48L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day0.6pace
Fees−$19est.
Kalshi-fit23%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$96
7 days−$29
14 days−$419
30 days−$419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 66% −$439
politics 16% −$77
sports 10% +$171
economics 8% −$2
crypto 0% −$1
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -14.4% -22.5% 40% 37% -11.6%
≤30d 64 +1.4% -8.3% 38% 34% -17.8%
≤90d 64 +1.4% -8.3% 38% 34% -17.8%
all 88 +17.7% +6.5% 45% 41% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.5% 41% -14.7%
10% -3.7% 36% -22.9%
15% -13.0% 25% -30.3%
20% -21.5% 20% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +58% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$26 vs −$29 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

243d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$274
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses40 / 48
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)88 / 96
History coverage243d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit23%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 88 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $41 +$17 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $162 −$137 -85%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $10 −$8 -83%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $10 +$3 +32%
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $152 +$32 +21%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Jun 23 $10 +$24 +231%
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $10 +$1 +10%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $51 +$29 +58%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $10 +$5 +46%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $51 −$3 -6%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $10 −$8 -88%
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 21 $10 −$8 -76%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $299 −$95 -32%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $101 −$4 -4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $112 +$87 +78%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti? Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $101 +$63 +62%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $10 $0 -3%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $10 +$31 +300%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $10 −$10 -94%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $10 +$3 +29%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $20 +$5 +27%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $10 +$14 +134%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $10 +$7 +73%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $404 +$114 +28%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $10 +$5 +48%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Greece win on 2025-11-18? Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18? Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Warriors vs. Heat Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Cyprus win on 2025-11-15? Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Ghana win on 2025-11-14? Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24? Jun 16 $48 −$48 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 96¢ $59 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 67¢ $41 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 9¢ $25 2h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25 BUY 3¢ $10 4h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 59¢ $152 4h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 14h
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 15h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 75¢ $10 15h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND BUY 20¢ $10 20h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 81¢ $183 28h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 66¢ $152 39h
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? AND Exact Score: Colombia 1 - BUY 2¢ $1 43h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Colombia leading at halftime? BUY 45¢ $10 45h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? A BUY 31¢ $20 45h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND SELL 57¢ $34 2d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 65¢ $80 2d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 40¢ $51 2d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 2d
Will France win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 91¢ $10 2d
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND Will Senega BUY 9¢ $10 2d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 49¢ $48 3d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 16¢ $41 3d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 3d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND BUY 17¢ $10 3d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 43¢ $10 3d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 3d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $10.00 · 218 history records