Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:00:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9912…a695
crypto · 26 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$144 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$577 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$577
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses6 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day51.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$577
7 days−$577
14 days−$577
30 days−$577
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$64 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$22 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$25 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $211 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$177 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $132 −$125 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $233 −$225 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $207 +$162 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $230 +$106 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$47 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $133 +$70 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$577
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $106 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $105 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $101 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $105 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-64.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -60.2% -64.0% 23% 23% -36.3%
≤30d 26 -60.2% -64.0% 23% 23% -36.3%
≤90d 26 -60.2% -64.0% 23% 23% -36.3%
all 26 -60.2% -64.0% 23% 23% -36.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -64.0% 23% -36.3%
10% ← realistic here -67.5% 23% -42.4%
15% -70.6% 19% -48.0%
20% -73.5% 12% -53.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 58 history records