Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9919…0a5d
crypto · 666 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,965 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,966 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$146
Realized−$6,966
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses643 / 491
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1134 / 666
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day2862.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,966
7 days−$6,966
14 days−$6,966
30 days−$6,966
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$258
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-46.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1134 -41.2% -46.8% 57% 1% -37.0%
≤30d 1134 -41.2% -46.8% 57% 1% -37.0%
≤90d 1134 -41.2% -46.8% 57% 1% -37.0%
all 1134 -41.2% -46.8% 57% 1% -37.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2862.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.8% 1% -37.0%
10% ← realistic here -51.9% 0% -43.0%
15% -56.5% 0% -48.5%
20% -60.8% 0% -53.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $145.52 · official $145.24 (match) · 3500 history records