Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:57:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x993a…1e70
other · 9 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$17 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$20
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses5 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)6 / 9
History coverage72d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 3 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$18
14 days+$22
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 48¢ 18¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-64%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 +$5 +41%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? May 31 $8 +$4 +49%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? Apr 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% +$16
world 37% +$1
sports 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $13 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $17 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $12 40h
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? SELL No 78¢ $10 40h
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? BUY No 77¢ $10 2d
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? BUY No 67¢ $8 69d
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 72d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 72d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +74.3% +57.7% 100% 75% +41.1%
≤30d 5 +69.3% +53.2% 100% 80% +39.9%
≤90d 6 +41.1% +27.6% 83% 67% +33.3%
all 6 +41.1% +27.6% 83% 67% +33.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +27.6% 67% +33.3%
10% +15.4% 67% +20.6%
15% +4.3% 67% +8.9%
20% -6.0% 33% -1.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.84 · official $16.84 (match) · 14 history records