Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x993c…6787
finance · 83 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$47,702 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37,991 · open −$266
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$96,752
Realized+$37,991
Unrealized−$266
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses27 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions73
Markets (closed)38 / 83
Avg bet$2,182
Trades / day252.8
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 73 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$815
7 days+$20,696
14 days+$37,991
30 days+$37,991
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 79¢ 86¢ $15,082 $16,435 +$1,353 (+9%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 27¢ 48¢ $8,075 $14,550 +$6,475 (+80%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 90¢ 81¢ $10,852 $9,779 −$1,073 (-10%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $8,959 $9,350 +$391 (+4%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 82¢ 54¢ $9,023 $5,885 −$3,138 (-35%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes 37¢ 38¢ $5,559 $5,775 +$216 (+4%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 37¢ 65¢ $2,220 $3,900 +$1,680 (+76%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 96¢ 92¢ $3,833 $3,666 −$167 (-4%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 47¢ 22¢ $7,421 $3,398 −$4,023 (-54%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 11¢ 15¢ $1,924 $2,758 +$834 (+43%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 21¢ 40¢ $1,289 $2,370 +$1,081 (+84%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 75¢ 82¢ $1,883 $2,050 +$167 (+9%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 15¢ 24¢ $1,187 $1,920 +$733 (+62%)
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 88¢ 88¢ $1,175 $1,171 −$3 (-0%)
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes 41¢ 29¢ $1,640 $1,167 −$473 (-29%)
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 55¢ 56¢ $1,104 $1,120 +$16 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Yes 9¢ 3¢ $3,056 $1,038 −$2,018 (-66%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 26¢ 46¢ $520 $930 +$410 (+79%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 74¢ 78¢ $740 $775 +$35 (+5%)
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 75¢ 74¢ $746 $735 −$11 (-1%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No 73¢ 71¢ $730 $710 −$20 (-3%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 61¢ 68¢ $615 $680 +$65 (+11%)
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 70¢ 65¢ $699 $650 −$49 (-7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Yes 17¢ 6¢ $1,326 $520 −$806 (-61%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? Yes 14¢ 6¢ $1,158 $440 −$718 (-62%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? Jun 12 $4,037 +$175 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $3,124 −$459 -15%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? Jun 12 $227 +$241 +106%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 11 $335 +$38 +11%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 11 $2,117 +$37 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 11 $1,105 +$54 +5%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 11 $3,385 +$754 +22%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $262 +$26 +10%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el Jun 10 $480 −$50 -10%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 08 $1,320 +$180 +14%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $666 +$133 +20%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Jun 06 $2,826 +$20,174 +714%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? Jun 05 $697 −$606 -87%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? Jun 04 $866 +$35 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 04 $1,594 +$249 +16%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Jun 04 $190 +$45 +24%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? Jun 03 $72 +$30 +42%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 03 $3,850 +$5,334 +139%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 03 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 02 $720 +$160 +22%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 02 $671 +$120 +18%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 02 $155 −$91 -59%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? Jun 02 $66 −$61 -92%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Jun 01 $872 +$43 +5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $220 +$71 +32%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? Jun 01 $38 +$67 +177%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? Jun 01 $826 −$239 -29%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $764 +$232 +30%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? Jun 01 $30 −$30 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 01 $3 $0 +14%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? Jun 01 $10 +$54 +530%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 01 $1,064 −$498 -47%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $6,839 +$8,097 +118%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2,057 +$2,002 +97%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June? Jun 01 $543 −$8 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? May 31 $255 +$1,285 +503%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 30 $2,194 +$416 +19%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 29 $4 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 59% +$17,600
world 37% +$20,453
politics 3% −$313
other 2% +$56
sports 0% −$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 18¢ $16 0m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? BUY Yes 6¢ $96 4m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 21¢ $42 7m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $390 9m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 5¢ $0 27m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 5¢ $4 34m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 15¢ $5 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 15¢ $1 1h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $104 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $310 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? BUY Yes 3¢ $24 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? BUY Yes 6¢ $24 1h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $20 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $64 1h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $31 1h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 41¢ $820 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $220 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 11¢ $59 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 11¢ $2 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 12¢ $146 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 12¢ $95 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $13 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $0 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $1 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $57 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $32 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $93 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $43 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $8 3h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY Yes 34¢ $34 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+40.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +57.7% +42.7% 77% 46% +93.3%
≤30d 38 +55.5% +40.7% 71% 55% +72.0%
≤90d 38 +55.5% +40.7% 71% 55% +72.0%
all 38 +55.5% +40.7% 71% 55% +72.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover252.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.7% 55% +72.0%
10% +27.2% 34% +55.6%
15% ← realistic here +14.9% 24% +40.5%
20% +3.7% 21% +26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96,751.55 · official $96,752.75 (match) · 3500 history records