Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:05:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x993c…48c7 crypto 86 markets active 6h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (164 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$1,739 (+100%) realized +$1,739 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +108% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +60% what you keep after slip
Net edge+60%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate48%41W / 45L
Drawdown6%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day164.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,735
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (164 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+88.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +108.1% +88.3% 48% 48% +80.9%
≤30d 86 +108.1% +88.3% 48% 48% +80.9%
≤90d 86 +108.1% +88.3% 48% 48% +80.9%
all 86 +108.1% +88.3% 48% 48% +80.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover164.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +88.3% 48% +80.9%
10% ← realistic here +70.3% 48% +63.6%
15% +53.8% 48% +47.8%
20% +38.8% 48% +33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +100% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +108% · $-wt +100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +84% → late +132% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$61 vs −$17 · ×3.64 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×3.31 per $1 lost it wins $3.31
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,739
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses41 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage4d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day164.4
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 86 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 19 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$77 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $21 +$59 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$37 +1076%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$74 +1233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$92 +1150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$56 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$71 +751%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$45 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$77 +327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$31 +326%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$68 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$68 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$56 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$34 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$67 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$87 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $27 +$53 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$13 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$77 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$96 +396%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $37 +$63 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 716 history records