trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | +27.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | +27.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | +27.5% |
| all | 10 | -39.3% | -45.1% | 30% | 30% | -91.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.1% | 30% | -91.4% |
| 10% | -50.3% | 30% | -92.2% |
| 15% | -55.1% | 30% | -93.0% |
| 20% | -59.5% | 30% | -93.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $47 | $47 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$17 | +55% |
| Czechia to score first vs. South Africa? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$10 | -63% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $41 | +$60 | +146% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $19 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Trump say "Deal" 25+ times during events with UK Prime Minister o | Sep 18 | $1,587 | −$1,587 | -100% |
| Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16? | Sep 09 | $1,714 | −$321 | -19% |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31? | Sep 01 | $145 | −$145 | -100% |
| 2025 August second hottest on record? | Aug 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |