Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9941…61e8
crypto · 866 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$128 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$128 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses523 / 372
Open positions0
Markets (closed)895 / 866
History coverage15d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day175.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 895 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$96
7 days−$131
14 days−$112
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 21¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+376%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$6 -131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 429 -6.1% -15.0% 56% 3% -11.1%
≤30d 895 -1.0% -10.5% 58% 4% -10.3%
≤90d 895 -1.0% -10.5% 58% 4% -10.3%
all 895 -1.0% -10.5% 58% 4% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover175.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 4% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 1% -18.9%
15% -26.9% 1% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.64 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records