Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:39:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x994c…36af
crypto · 1659 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$786 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$786 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$786
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1485 / 280
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1765 / 1659
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day151.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1765 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$696
7 days−$704
14 days−$706
30 days−$786
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026? No 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Mantova achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $77 Week of May 4 2026? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of May 4 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in May? Jun 12 $141 −$141 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 496 -22.8% -30.1% 69% 36% -36.2%
≤30d 1765 -7.6% -16.4% 84% 33% -18.3%
≤90d 1765 -7.6% -16.4% 84% 33% -18.3%
all 1765 -7.6% -16.4% 84% 33% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 33% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 2% -26.2%
15% -31.7% 0% -33.3%
20% -38.4% 0% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records