Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:14:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x996b…abf7
sports · 810 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$299 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$365 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses689 / 121
Est. fees paid−$79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)810 / 810
History coverage47d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 810 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$224
14 days−$258
30 days−$338
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Harry Wendelken 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jacob Fearnley 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 88¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season PCIFIC 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Tahlia Kokkinis Tahlia Kokkinis 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 90¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers Arizona Diamondbacks 96¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A South America Rejects 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic Joshua Charlton 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Athletics 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Nashville SC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 94¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $27 +$1 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $27 −$7 -26%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $27 +$2 +8%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $27 +$1 +5%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $27 +$2 +8%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $28 +$2 +6%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $27 −$22 -82%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $27 +$2 +8%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $27 +$2 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $27 +$3 +10%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $27 +$4 +13%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $27 +$3 +10%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $27 −$11 -40%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $26 +$2 +8%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 13 $27 +$1 +4%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $27 +$3 +10%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $27 +$2 +7%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak Jun 13 $27 +$1 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $26 +$1 +5%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $27 +$2 +6%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $27 −$16 -60%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $26 +$1 +6%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $26 +$1 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $27 +$4 +14%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $25 +$3 +13%
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $27 +$1 +4%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 13 $27 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $26 +$2 +6%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $27 +$1 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $27 +$2 +7%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 13 $27 −$19 -71%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $27 +$2 +8%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $27 +$3 +10%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $27 +$2 +6%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $27 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$531
other 3% +$166
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 95¢ $27 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 62¢ $20 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 83¢ $27 5h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 92¢ $27 7h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 97¢ $27 9h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 95¢ $27 9h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera SELL Antonia Rivera 16¢ $5 10h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 92¢ $27 10h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Antonia Rivera 86¢ $27 10h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ $27 10h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 94¢ $28 10h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 92¢ $27 11h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 97¢ $27 12h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 94¢ $27 12h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 90¢ $27 13h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 91¢ $27 13h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano SELL Jacob Fearnley 55¢ $16 14h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 88¢ $27 14h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 97¢ $27 14h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 92¢ $27 14h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Alicia Dudeney 91¢ $27 14h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 90¢ $27 15h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 97¢ $27 16h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 97¢ $27 16h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 97¢ $27 16h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 92¢ $26 16h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 91¢ $27 16h
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Lucciana Perez Alarcon 96¢ $27 17h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 97¢ $26 17h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 93¢ $27 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 284 -6.5% -15.4% 81% 10% -10.0%
≤30d 621 -3.1% -12.3% 85% 12% -9.4%
≤90d 810 -3.7% -12.9% 85% 11% -9.4%
all 810 -3.7% -12.9% 85% 11% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 11% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 1% -18.0%
15% -28.8% 1% -26.0%
20% -35.8% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.93 · official $0.00 · 1696 history records