Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T02:01:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x9977…3020 sports 347 markets active 1d ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account⚠ Covers last 17d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (183 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$5,052,294 (+377%) realized +$5,052,294 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%343W / 3L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3,861per market
Trades / day183.4pace
Fees−$335est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 17d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 76% −$7,896
other 15% +$769
weather 9% +$4,288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (183 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 +0.3% -9.2% 99% 1% -10.6%
≤30d 346 +7.9% -2.4% 99% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 346 +7.9% -2.4% 99% 1% -9.7%
all 346 +7.9% -2.4% 99% 1% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover183.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.4% 1% -9.7%
10% -11.7% 1% -18.4%
15% ← realistic here -20.2% 1% -26.3%
20% -28.1% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$4,950) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +16% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$4,469 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,052,294
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses343 / 3
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$335
Open positions0
Markets (closed)346 / 347
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$3,861
Trades / day183.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 346 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $500 $0 +0%
Canada to score first vs. Qatar? Jun 19 $1,878 +$8 +0%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $915 +$9 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $500 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $67 +$1 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $249 +$2 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $119 +$1 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $9,806 +$194 +2%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5 Jun 19 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Canada vs. Qatar: Neither team to score first? Jun 19 $7,493 +$12 +0%
Spread: Canada (-5.5) Jun 19 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Qatar to score first vs. Canada? Jun 19 $9,990 +$10 +0%
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $71 +$1 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $771 +$8 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $9,813 +$187 +2%
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $9,875 +$125 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $7 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $2,122 +$3 +0%
Switzerland to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $876 +$9 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0. Jun 18 $158 +$2 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1. Jun 18 $66 $0 +0%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 18 $1,992 +$20 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $2,566 +$26 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Jun 18 $2,408 +$24 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $214 +$3 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $9,900 +$100 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $9,902 +$98 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $7,283 +$7 +0%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $59 +$1 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $406 +$4 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $24 $0 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $5,687 +$57 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $8,392 +$8 +0%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $4,951 +$49 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $4,949 +$51 +1%
South Africa to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 18 $4,995 +$5 +0%
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $331 $0 +0%
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $99 +$1 +1%
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $2,525 +$25 +1%
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $4,929 +$7 +0%
Czechia vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? Jun 18 $1,172 +$1 +0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $6,993 +$7 +0%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 18 $2,091 +$2 +0%
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $23,871 +$59 +0%
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $783 +$1 +0%
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $1,133 +$1 +0%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $4 $0 +9%
Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $149 +$1 +1%
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $112 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 100¢ $1,998 25h
Spread: Canada (-5.5) BUY Canada 100¢ $76 25h
Spread: Canada (-5.5) BUY Canada 100¢ $424 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score BUY No 100¢ $1,998 26h
Spread: Canada (-5.5) BUY Canada 100¢ $1,499 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score BUY No 99¢ $124 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $7 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $116 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $15 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $430 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $167 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $12 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $234 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $43 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $123 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $442 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $54 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $69 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $140 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $70 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $31 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $27 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $11 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $11 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $20 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $229 26h
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $9,759 27h
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records