Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:49:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x998e…083f
sports · 64 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$27 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses34 / 27
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions3
Markets (closed)61 / 64
History coverage57d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 3 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$11
14 days−$7
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 50¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 59¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 64¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Cleveland Guardians 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner Sidemen FC 61¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $10 +$10 +97%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $29 +$23 +79%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 09 $34 −$34 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $20 −$4 -18%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $30 +$30 +97%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $25 +$18 +70%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 05 $25 −$25 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $15 −$15 -99%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 03 $12 +$5 +41%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 02 $12 +$9 +73%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 01 $8 −$7 -98%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 01 $10 +$8 +79%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $10 +$6 +60%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $16 −$15 -98%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 30 $5 +$2 +42%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 May 29 $3 +$2 +76%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 27 $20 +$21 +101%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $39 +$22 +57%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $12 −$12 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 24 $10 +$7 +70%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves May 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 24 $10 +$5 +52%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves May 23 $23 −$23 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves May 23 $25 +$13 +52%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 22 $20 −$20 -99%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 21 $13 −$13 -99%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 21 $10 −$10 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 20 $11 +$9 +83%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 19 $14 +$9 +62%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 19 $18 +$13 +73%
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves May 18 $13 +$9 +65%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 16 $5 +$5 +86%
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves May 16 $10 +$7 +67%
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 16 $7 +$6 +86%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 10 $14 +$12 +86%
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C May 10 $5 +$4 +73%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers May 10 $10 +$6 +55%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $5 −$5 -91%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? May 06 $20 +$12 +61%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees May 05 $5 +$3 +50%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights May 05 $17 +$10 +60%
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers May 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $9 −$9 -97%
Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? May 03 $10 +$4 +38%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Apr 30 $5 +$12 +238%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$68
other 11% −$32
crypto 4% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $10 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 48¢ $10 1h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 50¢ $10 16h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 49¢ $10 16h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 59¢ $10 5d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $10 5d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $19 5d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 59¢ $24 5d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees SELL New York Yankees 44¢ $17 7d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 50¢ $30 7d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $20 7d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers BUY Cleveland Guardians 55¢ $25 8d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves BUY Atlanta Braves 58¢ $25 8d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 56¢ $15 9d
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) SELL Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ $6 11d
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 53¢ $6 11d
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 53¢ $6 11d
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 68¢ $10 12d
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ $12 12d
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 47¢ $8 12d
New York Yankees vs. Athletics BUY New York Yankees 62¢ $10 13d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $10 13d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 60¢ $10 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 38¢ $16 14d
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 70¢ $5 16d
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 BUY Yes 56¢ $3 16d
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 49¢ $20 19d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 63¢ $39 19d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ $12 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -5.9% -14.9% 50% 50% -21.4%
≤30d 38 +1.4% -8.3% 58% 58% -8.2%
≤90d 61 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 56% -7.1%
all 61 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 56% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 56% -7.1%
10% -17.6% 56% -16.0%
15% -25.5% 56% -24.1%
20% -32.8% 46% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.90 · official $29.90 (match) · 113 history records