Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9991…36b8
sports · 1420 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,392 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,311 · open −$81
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized−$1,311
Unrealized−$81
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses661 / 683
Est. fees paid−$282
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1344 / 1420
History coverage8d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day405.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 14 History 1344 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$335
7 days−$1,429
14 days−$1,311
30 days−$1,311
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Los Angeles: Maria Aytoyan vs Monika Ekstrand Monika Ekstrand 73¢ 95¢ $13 $16 +$4 (+30%)
Dziki Warszawa vs. Arka Gdynia Dziki Warszawa 74¢ 100¢ $11 $14 +$4 (+35%)
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin FC Bayern Munchen 75¢ 100¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+33%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier FaZe Vegas 50¢ 57¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Fullana vs. Alves: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Under 38¢ 50¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+32%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ 54¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 74¢ 46¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-37%)
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Luiza Fullana 30¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs Eternal Fire Academy 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Washed 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Gatorian 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Alba Berlin 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Partizan 71¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritz Fritz 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Snigur vs Montgomery Snigur 57¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Alessandra Mazzola 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yujia Huang Priska Madelyn Nugroho 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ruse vs. Mertens: Match O/U 23.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Liam Broady 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Wuning: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Universitario vs. Club Aurora end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Greet Minnen vs Alina Charaeva Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Savannah Broadus vs Viktoria Morvayova Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Nicolas Oliveira vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will OC Safi vs. Maghreb AS de Fès end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Nicolas Zanellato vs Pedro Rodrigues Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Reyer Venezia vs. Virtus Bologna Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Birmingham (Doubles): Day/Stoiana vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Foggia: Despina Papamichail vs Chloe Paquet Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Centurion 2: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yanan Hou vs Kyoka Okamura Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Ontinyent: Juliana Giaccio vs Berta Miret Avante Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$880
other 1% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Luiza Fullana 30¢ $4 30m
Fullana vs. Alves: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 38¢ $7 35m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY FaZe Vegas 50¢ $10 44m
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $49 1h
Galway United FC vs. Dundalk FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 99¢ $15 1h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai SELL BC Dubai 100¢ $17 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $26 1h
Galway United FC vs. Dundalk FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 47¢ $6 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $7 1h
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 64¢ $14 1h
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $31 1h
ITF Los Angeles: Kristina Penickova vs Alina Shcherbinina SELL Alina Shcherbinina 99¢ $16 1h
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $49 1h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 34¢ $6 1h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin BUY Alba Berlin 31¢ $5 1h
Galway United FC vs. Dundalk FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 61¢ $10 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 100¢ $42 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $32 2h
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 36¢ $23 2h
Set 1 Winner: Quevedo vs Samson SELL Samson 100¢ $16 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) SELL Spirit 100¢ $22 2h
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia BUY Maria Florencia Urrutia 42¢ $8 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 38¢ $6 2h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 74¢ $31 2h
ITF Los Angeles: Kristina Penickova vs Alina Shcherbinina BUY Alina Shcherbinina 62¢ $10 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $17 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $33 2h
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 29¢ $12 2h
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella BUY Lily Taylor 70¢ $13 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1211 -17.7% -25.5% 47% 35% -17.0%
≤30d 1344 -14.3% -22.4% 49% 38% -16.1%
≤90d 1344 -14.3% -22.4% 49% 38% -16.1%
all 1344 -14.3% -22.4% 49% 38% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover405.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 38% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 36% -24.2%
15% -36.6% 33% -31.5%
20% -42.8% 28% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.48 · official $79.49 (match) · 3500 history records