Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99a2…285f
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses16 / 12
Open positions1
Markets (closed)28 / 29
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Up 56¢ 48¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $12 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 57% -14.3%
≤30d 28 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 57% -14.3%
≤90d 28 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 57% -14.3%
all 28 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 57% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 57% -14.3%
10% -23.7% 50% -22.5%
15% -31.1% 36% -30.0%
20% -37.8% 36% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.28 · official $7.28 (match) · 45 history records