Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T11:36:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x99a4…d89f crypto 1443 markets active 0h ago coverage 107d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 107d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,790 (-3%) realized −$1,790 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate88%1270W / 173L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day17.4pace
Fees−$147est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$200
7 days−$44
14 days−$20
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 80% −$1,069
sports 15% +$366
weather 3% −$304
other 1% +$30
tech 0% +$6
politics 0% $0
world 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 379 -1.6% -11.0% 91% 19% -10.2%
≤30d 605 -1.4% -10.8% 90% 18% -10.4%
≤90d 1122 -1.4% -10.8% 87% 15% -10.8%
all 1443 -1.4% -10.8% 88% 14% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 14% -11.0%
10% -19.3% 6% -19.5%
15% -27.1% 3% -27.3%
20% -34.2% 2% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$29 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

107d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,790
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1270 / 173
Est. fees paid−$147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1443 / 1443
History coverage107d ⚠
Avg bet$43
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1443 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $19 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $31 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $28 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $27 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $27 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$3 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $19 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $29 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $28 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $27 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records