Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99af…c26a
crypto · 36 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$113 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$113
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses11 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage22d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$117
14 days−$114
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+174%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$4 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 07 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 07 $45 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 07 $46 −$45 -98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $46 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 07 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 07 $25 +$4 +15%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 07 $43 +$4 +10%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 04 $40 +$4 +9%
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? May 31 $10 $0 -5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 26 $6 +$1 +17%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 23 $10 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$123
world 36% +$11
economics 3% $0
tech 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-36.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -34.3% -40.6% 28% 19% -42.3%
≤30d 36 -30.0% -36.7% 31% 19% -35.8%
≤90d 36 -30.0% -36.7% 31% 19% -35.8%
all 36 -30.0% -36.7% 31% 19% -35.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.7% 19% -35.8%
10% -42.8% 8% -42.0%
15% -48.3% 8% -47.6%
20% -53.4% 8% -52.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.68 · official $0.00 (match) · 63 history records