Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:25:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99c4…0c89
sports · 762 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,072 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$824 · open −$107
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$385
Realized−$824
Unrealized−$107
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses278 / 472
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Est. fees paid−$352
Open positions8
Markets (closed)750 / 762
History coverage142d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 8 History 750 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$179
7 days−$57
14 days−$343
30 days−$901
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 21¢ 21¢ $158 $154 −$4 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-1%)
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? No 83¢ 82¢ $59 $58 −$0 (-0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 56¢ 56¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 51¢ 50¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? Yes 42¢ 38¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $50 $1 −$49 (-98%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $503 $0 −$503 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $99 +$900 +913%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $112 −$110 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $319 −$5 -2%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $98 +$237 +243%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $44 +$36 +82%
Promise David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $252 −$252 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $267 −$150 -56%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $377 −$377 -100%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals Jun 12 $404 +$8 +2%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $104 +$18 +17%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 +$15 +144%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $200 +$133 +67%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $83 −$4 -5%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $85 −$50 -59%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $82 +$135 +165%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 −$1 -7%
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $17 −$2 -12%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $581 −$135 -23%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $204 −$12 -6%
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $31 +$9 +28%
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $51 −$9 -17%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $39 +$42 +109%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 09 $429 −$224 -52%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $170 +$190 +112%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $39 +$7 +19%
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10? Jun 09 $121 −$40 -33%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $114 −$4 -4%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins Jun 08 $17 +$38 +217%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $69 +$109 +158%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 07 $359 +$163 +45%
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $5 −$2 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% +$3,180
other 39% −$3,107
world 4% +$872
finance 4% −$232
politics 3% −$449
crypto 3% −$638
economics 1% −$555
tech 1% +$55
weather 1% −$27
culture 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $36 23m
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 42¢ $25 29m
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 56¢ $56 30m
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 51¢ $25 30m
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $26 45m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $71 45m
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY Yes 21¢ $100 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 100¢ $999 50m
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 25¢ $20 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 27¢ $31 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 11¢ $15 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 9¢ $51 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $112 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 44¢ $314 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $65 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $254 12h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $15 13h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $335 14h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $25 16h
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? SELL No 82¢ $25 16h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $40 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -9.3% -18.0% 28% 26% -10.3%
≤30d 165 -28.2% -35.1% 29% 27% -14.9%
≤90d 458 -20.7% -28.2% 32% 29% -15.9%
all 750 -12.1% -20.5% 37% 33% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.5% 33% -10.6%
10% -28.1% 30% -19.2%
15% -35.0% 27% -27.0%
20% -41.4% 24% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $384.88 · official $384.88 (match) · 3500 history records