Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:39:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99c8…4260
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses23 / 14
Open positions2
Markets (closed)37 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day102.6
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 63¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$4 +102%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% $0
other 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +1.1% -8.6% 62% 54% -8.6%
≤30d 37 +1.1% -8.6% 62% 54% -8.6%
≤90d 37 +1.1% -8.6% 62% 54% -8.6%
all 37 +1.1% -8.6% 62% 54% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover102.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 54% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 51% -17.4%
15% -25.3% 35% -25.3%
20% -32.6% 24% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.65 · official $2.00 (match) · 128 history records