Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T21:18:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x99d3…9b6e crypto 229 markets active 1h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$48 (-3%) realized −$48 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate62%141W / 87L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day50.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$93
sports 4% −$2
other 2% −$31
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -0.5% -9.9% 62% 57% -5.9%
≤30d 228 -0.5% -9.9% 62% 57% -5.9%
≤90d 228 -0.5% -9.9% 62% 57% -5.9%
all 228 -0.5% -9.9% 62% 57% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 57% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 48% -14.9%
15% -26.4% 38% -23.1%
20% -33.6% 26% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses141 / 87
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)228 / 229
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day50.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 228 Trades
no open positions (66 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$30 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 27 $29 +$14 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 27 $22 +$33 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $7 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 27 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 27 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $25 −$2 -8%
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran? Jun 27 $3 −$3 -98%
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$5 +90%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 26 $4 +$7 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5 AND Netherlands to score Jun 26 $17 +$12 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$20 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$6 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$12 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $14 +$9 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 25 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$9 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 490 history records