Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:56:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99d4…0e06
sports · 1168 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$88 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$194 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$404
Realized−$194
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses871 / 229
Est. fees paid−$60
Open positions68
Markets (closed)1100 / 1168
History coverage27d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day77.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 68 History 1100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$0
14 days−$101
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 7¢ 18¢ $9 $23 +$14 (+158%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 62¢ 100¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+59%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 64¢ 100¢ $9 $13 +$5 (+57%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Over 53¢ 75¢ $9 $12 +$4 (+42%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-4%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 21¢ 20¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Over 9¢ 11¢ $9 $10 +$2 (+22%)
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 95¢ 99¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+5%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 86¢ 90¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+4%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 46¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) Ecuador 15¢ 16¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 62¢ 62¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 36¢ 36¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ 60¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Japan to score first vs. Netherlands? Yes 40¢ 39¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty Washington Mystics 14¢ 14¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Under 41¢ 40¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-7%)
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-9%)
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? Yes 56¢ 55¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 14 $43 −$2 -4%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $8 $0 -4%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $13 −$1 -9%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $30 −$2 -5%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -7%
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Jun 14 $4 $0 -10%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $9 +$1 +11%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$126
other 19% −$56
crypto 1% −$27
world 0% −$5
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 41¢ $2 0m
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 21¢ $2 0m
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $3 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 41¢ $6 1m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 41¢ $4 36m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 42¢ $4 37m
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 38m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 41¢ $4 38m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 SELL Over 60¢ $4 40m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 45¢ $4 42m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 46¢ $4 43m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL FUT Esports 50¢ $5 44m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 41¢ $4 44m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 57¢ $4 45m
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Ecuador? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 45m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 34¢ $4 46m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 65¢ $4 47m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 35¢ $4 47m
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 23¢ $4 47m
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 48m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 68¢ $4 48m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 32¢ $4 48m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5 BUY Over 23¢ $4 49m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 BUY Over 61¢ $4 49m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 53¢ $4 49m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 56¢ $4 49m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $4 49m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 52¢ $4 49m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5 BUY Over 45¢ $4 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 +0.1% -9.5% 90% 39% -9.5%
≤30d 1100 -3.1% -12.3% 79% 33% -11.1%
≤90d 1100 -3.1% -12.3% 79% 33% -11.1%
all 1100 -3.1% -12.3% 79% 33% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 33% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 3% -19.6%
15% -28.4% 2% -27.4%
20% -35.4% 2% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $403.51 · official $403.48 (match) · 2668 history records