Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99d7…6435
sports · 966 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$9,568 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,251 · open +$368
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,523
Realized+$9,251
Unrealized+$368
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses522 / 517
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$4,538
Open positions32
Markets (closed)1039 / 966
History coverage14d
Avg bet$474
Trades / day211.7
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 32 History 1039 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50,936
7 days−$39,251
14 days+$9,251
30 days+$9,251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 68¢ 96¢ $1,015 $1,447 +$432 (+43%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 78¢ $981 $1,380 +$400 (+41%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 66¢ 70¢ $621 $657 +$36 (+6%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 75¢ 90¢ $537 $649 +$112 (+21%)
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola Mazzola 30¢ 64¢ $245 $524 +$279 (+114%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 94¢ 98¢ $470 $492 +$22 (+5%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 32¢ 35¢ $412 $453 +$42 (+10%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 77¢ 78¢ $442 $451 +$9 (+2%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Camilla Gennaro 47¢ 75¢ $237 $379 +$142 (+60%)
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima Anas Mazdrashki 79¢ 59¢ $316 $236 −$80 (-25%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 51¢ 14¢ $672 $179 −$493 (-73%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 78¢ 80¢ $102 $104 +$2 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 55¢ 58¢ $88 $93 +$6 (+6%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka England 81¢ 88¢ $60 $65 +$5 (+8%)
Spread: CD Ñublense (-2.5) CD Huachipato 85¢ 92¢ $54 $58 +$4 (+7%)
Spread: CD Huachipato (-1.5) CD Ñublense 80¢ 93¢ $47 $54 +$7 (+16%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 77¢ 100¢ $38 $50 +$11 (+30%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 68¢ 35¢ $80 $41 −$39 (-48%)
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Aurora Zantedeschi 68¢ 64¢ $43 $40 −$3 (-7%)
Shelton vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5 Over 63¢ 99¢ $25 $39 +$14 (+57%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 47¢ 56¢ $33 $38 +$6 (+18%)
Zantedeschi vs. Mazzola: Match O/U 21.5 Over 46¢ 44¢ $39 $37 −$2 (-5%)
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-18? Yes 61¢ 35¢ $24 $14 −$10 (-43%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 65¢ 78¢ $10 $13 +$2 (+21%)
Will Northampton Saints win? No 34¢ 30¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $339 −$339 -100%
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $372 −$372 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $750 −$750 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 12 $329 −$329 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $349 −$349 -100%
Santos FC leading at halftime? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Kovacevic vs Buse Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5) Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Croatia Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $331 −$331 -100%
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
ITF Gaborone: Udit Kamboj vs Cooper Williams Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $782 −$782 -100%
ITF Maringa: Mateus Alves vs Luis Felipe Miguel Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Lucie Havlickov Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 12 $730 −$730 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Odisha FC vs. Punjab FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Venezia FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bordeaux: Moise Kouame vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 12 $720 −$720 -100%
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia Jun 12 $231 −$231 -100%
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Petrojet SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Noguchi vs. Cui: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Jun 12 $2,182 −$2,182 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $788 −$788 -100%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Vicenza: Samuele Pieri vs Jerome Kym Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Karolina Pl Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik Jun 12 $294 −$294 -100%
Serna vs. Zeitune: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$46,763
other 8% +$17,383
world 0% −$33
crypto 0% −$150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola BUY Mazzola 24¢ $160 1m
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola BUY Aurora Zantedeschi 68¢ $43 4m
ITF Nice: Tatiana Pieri vs Alina Granwehr BUY Tatiana Pieri 23¢ $0 6m
Zantedeschi vs. Mazzola: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 46¢ $40 9m
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola BUY Mazzola 53¢ $90 9m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 24¢ $1 16m
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima BUY Anas Mazdrashki 79¢ $40 22m
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima BUY Anas Mazdrashki 79¢ $111 22m
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima BUY Anas Mazdrashki 79¢ $165 22m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 47¢ $95 34m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 47¢ $143 34m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 81¢ $407 44m
Lyon (Doubles): Arias/Ingildsen vs Isaro/Poonacha BUY Isaro/Poonacha 94¢ $17 48m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 61¢ $617 49m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 100¢ $2,157 50m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 55¢ $604 52m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $471 54m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 31¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 43¢ $131 1h
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 65¢ $11 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 57¢ $389 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 51¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 52¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 53¢ $537 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 34¢ $23 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 44¢ $22 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 44¢ $59 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 44¢ $8 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 65¢ $261 2h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 38¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 694 -30.0% -36.7% 40% 36% -25.8%
≤30d 1039 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 43% -7.4%
≤90d 1039 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 43% -7.4%
all 1039 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 43% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover211.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 43% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 36% -16.3%
15% -34.0% 27% -24.4%
20% -40.5% 20% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,522.56 · official $7,522.12 (match) · 3500 history records