Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99dc…bcda
crypto · 208 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$531 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$539 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$108
Realized−$539
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses82 / 116
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions10
Markets (closed)198 / 208
History coverage129d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 10 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$55
14 days−$13
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 82¢ 99¢ $33 $40 +$7 (+21%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 89¢ 94¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+5%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 91¢ 94¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+4%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 63¢ 88¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+39%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 93¢ 92¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 57¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 93¢ 93¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 83¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $51 +$15 +30%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $51 +$38 +75%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $10 +$2 +22%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $4 $0 -1%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $51 +$38 +75%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $162 −$107 -66%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 01 $13 $0 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? May 30 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 28 $2 $0 +20%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect May 23 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 20 $26 +$12 +46%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? May 19 $8 −$2 -27%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 11 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 10 $53 −$44 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 10 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 10 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 10 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 10 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 10 $21 −$11 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 10 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 10 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 10 $26 −$12 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 10 $15 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 10 $14 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 10 $16 +$24 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 10 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 10 $15 +$17 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 10 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 10 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 10 $15 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 10 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 10 $10 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$570
other 9% +$39
world 8% +$15
finance 5% −$69
sports 5% +$60
politics 2% −$3
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? BUY No 93¢ $1 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? BUY No 97¢ $1 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 89¢ $10 20h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 64¢ $10 20h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 29h
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort BUY For Fun Esports 80¢ $10 29h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $10 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $51 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 56¢ $51 3d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 72¢ $1 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 57¢ $2 5d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Yandex 56¢ $51 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 16d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 20d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 20d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $1 20d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 20d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $1 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $1 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $1 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 21¢ $0 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 22¢ $2 21d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 22¢ $0 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +4.6% -5.4% 67% 67% +21.8%
≤30d 17 +5.3% -4.7% 65% 53% -10.3%
≤90d 169 -17.1% -25.0% 36% 25% -30.3%
all 198 -14.0% -22.2% 41% 26% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.2% 26% -23.2%
10% -29.6% 21% -30.5%
15% -36.4% 15% -37.2%
20% -42.7% 13% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $107.97 · official $107.37 (match) · 1333 history records