Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:16:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99e2…0904
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$70 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses134 / 76
Open positions1
Markets (closed)210 / 211
History coverage18d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 210 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$24
14 days−$32
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 81¢ 90¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+78.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +99.7% +80.7% 62% 56% -16.2%
≤30d 210 +97.2% +78.5% 64% 52% -14.2%
≤90d 210 +97.2% +78.5% 64% 52% -14.2%
all 210 +97.2% +78.5% 64% 52% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +78.5% 52% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here +61.4% 28% -22.4%
15% +45.8% 20% -29.9%
20% +31.5% 12% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.97 · official $12.12 · 459 history records