trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $19 | −$5 | -26% |
| Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $18 | −$2 | -11% |
| Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti | Jun 12 | $18 | −$5 | -26% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $18 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$2 | -11% |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 12 | $6 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -10% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 0% | 0% | -23.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 0% | 0% | -23.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 0% | 0% | -23.1% |
| all | 9 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 0% | 0% | -23.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -21.6% | 0% | -23.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -29.1% | 0% | -30.4% |
| 15% | -36.0% | 0% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -42.2% | 0% | -43.3% |