Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:57:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99f0…9495
sports · 480 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13,549 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87,302 · open +$15,269
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61,185
Realized−$87,302
Unrealized+$15,269
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses195 / 258
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$5,822
Open positions36
Markets (closed)453 / 480
History coverage11d
Avg bet$894
Trades / day287.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 36 History 453 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8,739
7 days−$78,063
14 days−$87,302
30 days−$87,302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $24,210 $42,368 +$18,158 (+75%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 97¢ 98¢ $5,493 $5,504 +$11 (+0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Under 15¢ 16¢ $2,331 $2,545 +$214 (+9%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 Over 98¢ 99¢ $1,999 $2,008 +$9 (+0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $1,582 $1,610 +$28 (+2%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Curaçao 30¢ 30¢ $1,083 $1,097 +$14 (+1%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 96¢ 96¢ $1,000 $1,005 +$5 (+0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Under 34¢ 36¢ $872 $920 +$48 (+5%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 73¢ 100¢ $499 $684 +$184 (+37%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 67¢ 68¢ $500 $511 +$11 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $500 $505 +$5 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 54¢ 55¢ $350 $353 +$3 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Over 8¢ 8¢ $339 $339 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Curaçao 16¢ 16¢ $278 $271 −$7 (-3%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Under 6¢ 6¢ $236 $255 +$20 (+8%)
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5) Sweden 98¢ 98¢ $196 $196 +$0 (+0%)
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: O/U 4.5 Over 8¢ 11¢ $135 $186 +$51 (+37%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Ben Shelton 47¢ 46¢ $187 $181 −$6 (-3%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Alex Bolt 35¢ 36¢ $120 $124 +$5 (+4%)
Japan leading at halftime? No 78¢ 78¢ $78 $78 +$0 (+0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Over 15¢ 16¢ $61 $64 +$2 (+3%)
Curaçao leading at halftime? No 97¢ 97¢ $61 $61 −$0 (-0%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Rinky Hijikata 44¢ 44¢ $60 $60 +$1 (+1%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Jacob Fearnley 44¢ 44¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+1%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Roberto Bautista Agut 35¢ 37¢ $45 $47 +$3 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Carole Monnet Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $13 +$36 +282%
Will Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1,999 +$1,449 +72%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $500 +$480 +96%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $542 +$88 +16%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $288 −$184 -64%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $943 +$578 +61%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $500 +$141 +28%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $500 +$95 +19%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $379 −$379 -100%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $528 −$465 -88%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $960 +$1,149 +120%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2,059 +$9,362 +455%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $680 −$39 -6%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,000 +$666 +67%
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Jun 14 $5,019 +$327 +6%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $500 +$719 +144%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $999 +$801 +80%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $313 +$94 +30%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $499 +$62 +12%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 14 $498 +$9 +2%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $999 +$149 +15%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $985 +$387 +39%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $155 +$11 +7%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $500 +$2,131 +426%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Spread: Haiti (-2.5) Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1,806 −$1,806 -100%
Qatar leading at halftime? Jun 13 $195 +$17 +9%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $309 +$525 +170%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3,919 +$5,215 +133%
Spread: Qatar (-2.5) Jun 13 $76 +$1 +1%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $682 +$992 +146%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $611 +$11 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$85,348
other 14% +$14,125
crypto 0% −$713
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Curaçao 29¢ $500 0m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 6¢ $0 1m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 6¢ $236 1m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $75 7m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $170 7m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $178 7m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $76 8m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $2 8m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $37 8m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $37 8m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $423 8m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Curaçao 15¢ $26 8m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $117 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 4¢ $0 14m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 15¢ $61 19m
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 35¢ $45 20m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 15¢ $9 21m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 16¢ $500 21m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 16¢ $500 23m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 14¢ $750 23m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 15¢ $500 23m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $71 27m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $195 27m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $36 27m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $197 27m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Jacob Fearnley 44¢ $47 41m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $10 43m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $7 43m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $26 43m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 444 +6.4% -3.8% 43% 35% -37.7%
≤30d 453 +10.8% +0.3% 43% 36% -30.2%
≤90d 453 +10.8% +0.3% 43% 36% -30.2%
all 453 +10.8% +0.3% 43% 36% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover287.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.3% 36% -30.2%
10% -9.3% 33% -36.9%
15% ← realistic here -18.1% 31% -43.0%
20% -26.1% 29% -48.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61,185.28 · official $61,185.28 (match) · 3500 history records