Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99f1…dd35
sports · 416 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$151 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$187
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses201 / 212
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions3
Markets (closed)413 / 416
History coverage73d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 413 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 53¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$3 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$2 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$4 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$5
crypto 28% −$119
other 11% −$40
weather 2% −$24
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +4.0% -5.9% 56% 49% -10.5%
≤30d 88 +4.0% -5.9% 56% 49% -10.5%
≤90d 413 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 40% -15.1%
all 413 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 40% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 40% -15.1%
10% -23.7% 32% -23.2%
15% -31.0% 26% -30.6%
20% -37.8% 22% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.81 · official $2.60 (match) · 1451 history records