Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:46:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a05…9755
sports · 259 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$88
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses107 / 129
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions23
Markets (closed)236 / 259
History coverage56d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 23 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$90
14 days−$158
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 31¢ 59¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+90%)
F0rsaken to have the most kills Yes 10¢ 43¢ $3 $12 +$9 (+313%)
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 10¢ 19¢ $5 $10 +$4 (+90%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 67¢ 62¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 78¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 64¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton? Leclerc 62¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 70¢ 48¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-31%)
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-18%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 47¢ 99¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+109%)
Who will finish higher: Piastri or Russell? Piastri 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 64¢ 63¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 64¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 61¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 Esports 62¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Team Heretics win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 9¢ 3¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-71%)
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Over 61¢ 10¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-84%)
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 40¢ 7¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-82%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season KRÜ Blaze 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs KRÜ Esports 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Pla Jun 11 $5 +$7 +146%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$2 +70%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Chan Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$3 +60%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 08 $10 +$4 +44%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 08 $10 +$5 +48%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $10 +$6 +55%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 08 $5 +$17 +325%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $5 +$4 +83%
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $5 +$5 +101%
Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: 9z Team vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Sta Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: P Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Dplus vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $10 −$7 -66%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$14
other 13% −$26
culture 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 BUY Over 61¢ $4 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 100¢ $6 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 61¢ $2 8h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 62¢ $2 8h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2 8h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 64¢ $5 8h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 9¢ $2 26h
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY Yes 5¢ $2 26h
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY Yes 10¢ $2 26h
Who will finish higher: Piastri or Russell? BUY Piastri 50¢ $2 27h
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton? BUY Leclerc 62¢ $5 27h
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 27h
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 40¢ $2 27h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 27¢ $5 27h
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY Yes 12¢ $2 27h
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 4¢ $2 27h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 64¢ $2 33h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 64¢ $2 33h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof BUY Paper Rex 67¢ $10 33h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 45¢ $5 33h
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Pla BUY Oasis Gaming 40¢ $5 3d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $5 3d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $5 3d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 52¢ $5 3d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $5 3d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $5 3d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $5 3d
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 52¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -33.5% -39.9% 35% 35% -43.7%
≤30d 166 -13.2% -21.5% 43% 43% -17.1%
≤90d 236 -5.2% -14.2% 45% 45% -10.7%
all 236 -5.2% -14.2% 45% 45% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 45% -10.7%
10% -22.4% 44% -19.2%
15% -29.9% 42% -27.0%
20% -36.8% 36% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.07 · official $90.74 · 448 history records