Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a13…4d34
sports · 175 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,054 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,631 · open −$423
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$188
Realized−$13,631
Unrealized−$423
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses63 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)39%
Est. fees paid−$622
Open positions4
Markets (closed)171 / 175
History coverage184d
Avg bet$324
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$791
7 days−$4,682
14 days−$7,494
30 days−$7,781
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $176 $175 −$1 (-1%)
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Modo Serio 19¢ 16¢ $14 $11 −$3 (-19%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 10¢ 0¢ $140 $1 −$139 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 31¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs GAM Esports 34¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance ThunderTalk Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Shifters 97¢ 0¢ $779 $0 −$779 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 31¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $208 $0 −$208 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 38¢ 0¢ $304 $0 −$304 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 36¢ 0¢ $341 $0 −$341 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 33¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Dplus KIA 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOS 15¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 42¢ 0¢ $1,115 $0 −$1,115 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner GamerLegion 37¢ 0¢ $258 $0 −$258 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs Team Liquid 42¢ 0¢ $271 $0 −$271 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 20¢ 0¢ $945 $0 −$945 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 16¢ 0¢ $664 $0 −$664 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 36¢ 0¢ $1,515 $0 −$1,515 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 30¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 20¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ground Zero Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Karmine Corp Blue 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $112 +$66 +59%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $130 −$72 -55%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $71 +$391 +549%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $113 −$110 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $421 −$420 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $63 +$150 +237%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $185 −$185 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $224 −$220 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $235 −$176 -75%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $400 +$62 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $291 +$109 +38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $146 −$143 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $280 −$275 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $1,178 −$1,159 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $416 −$299 -72%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $966 −$945 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $213 −$212 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5 +$20 +365%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $90 −$88 -97%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $572 −$565 -99%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $1,132 −$1,115 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $975 +$133 +14%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $636 −$469 -74%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,418 +$205 +14%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $1,681 −$904 -54%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $135 −$131 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $51 −$50 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $647 +$352 +54%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $46 +$1,624 +3493%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $443 +$525 +118%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,528 −$1,515 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,088 +$449 +41%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $12 −$12 -98%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $1,191 −$254 -21%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $438 +$1,060 +242%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $275 −$272 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $310 −$304 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $302 −$299 -99%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $650 −$190 -29%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $261 −$255 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $554 −$545 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1,228 −$200 -16%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $344 −$341 -99%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $94 −$93 -98%
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5) Jun 03 $339 −$338 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$13,269
crypto 8% −$785
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $178 15m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $179 16m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $112 39m
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America O BUY Modo Serio 20¢ $2 57m
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America O BUY Modo Serio 19¢ $12 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 6¢ $58 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 13¢ $130 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 17¢ $41 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 9¢ $103 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 77¢ $342 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $33 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $253 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 16¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 16¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 16¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 16¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $42 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $102 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 100¢ $462 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 15¢ $71 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $8 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $102 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +33.8% +21.1% 30% 30% -44.2%
≤30d 75 -2.4% -11.7% 29% 29% -33.3%
≤90d 75 -2.4% -11.7% 29% 29% -33.3%
all 171 +0.5% -9.1% 37% 33% -32.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 33% -32.2%
10% -17.8% 28% -38.7%
15% -25.7% 27% -44.6%
20% -33.0% 25% -50.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $187.53 · official $187.53 (match) · 939 history records