Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a1c…3ffb
crypto · 111 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses68 / 42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)110 / 111
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day127.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 90¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +5.4% -4.7% 62% 59% -8.8%
≤30d 110 +5.4% -4.7% 62% 59% -8.8%
≤90d 110 +5.4% -4.7% 62% 59% -8.8%
all 110 +5.4% -4.7% 62% 59% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 59% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 51% -17.5%
15% -22.1% 38% -25.5%
20% -29.8% 31% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.86 · official $0.82 (match) · 229 history records