Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:27:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a23…3b77
crypto · 1764 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$184 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,408 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$1,408
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1655 / 394
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2049 / 1764
History coverage38d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day49.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2049 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,463
7 days−$1,464
14 days−$1,461
30 days−$1,436
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 96¢ 98¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 5PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 21, 10AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 5PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 21, 10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 4AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 801 -34.3% -40.5% 62% 6% -39.2%
≤30d 1793 -15.1% -23.2% 79% 10% -23.2%
≤90d 2049 -12.9% -21.2% 81% 11% -21.4%
all 2049 -12.9% -21.2% 81% 11% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 11% -21.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 5% -28.9%
15% -35.6% 2% -35.8%
20% -42.0% 2% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.85 · official $11.73 (match) · 3500 history records