Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a24…b1a9
crypto · 467 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$124 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$994 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$994
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses288 / 179
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)467 / 467
History coverage14d
Avg bet$112
Trades / day102.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 467 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,018
7 days−$1,421
14 days−$1,004
30 days−$994
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $265 −$158 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $207 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $135 −$30 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $129 −$67 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $284 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $72 +$28 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$31 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$29 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $205 +$62 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$16 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$30 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$29 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$11 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$29 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $196 −$75 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$12 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $75 +$35 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $149 −$74 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$47 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$18 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $163 +$54 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $83 +$80 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$26 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $532 −$329 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$90 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $307 −$307 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$26 +96%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $159 −$142 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $456 −$299 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$53 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $324 +$76 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $358 +$138 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$55 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $305 +$85 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $221 +$139 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$19 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$1,878
sports 5% +$960
politics 3% −$80
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $19 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $50 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $50 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $214 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $76 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $31 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $101 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $52 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $129 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 -5.6% -14.6% 63% 52% -12.4%
≤30d 467 -0.5% -10.0% 62% 52% -11.2%
≤90d 467 -0.5% -10.0% 62% 52% -11.2%
all 467 -0.5% -10.0% 62% 52% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover102.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 52% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 42% -19.7%
15% -26.5% 31% -27.5%
20% -33.7% 22% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1929 history records