Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:58:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a29…5f03
crypto · 607 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,430 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,958 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12,958
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses253 / 536
Open positions0
Markets (closed)789 / 607
History coverage5d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day658.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 789 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,568
7 days−$12,958
14 days−$12,958
30 days−$12,958
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$160 -15945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $341 −$341 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,687
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-35.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 789 -28.6% -35.4% 32% 32% -33.2%
≤30d 789 -28.6% -35.4% 32% 32% -33.2%
≤90d 789 -28.6% -35.4% 32% 32% -33.2%
all 789 -28.6% -35.4% 32% 32% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover658.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.4% 32% -33.2%
10% ← realistic here -41.6% 31% -39.6%
15% -47.2% 30% -45.4%
20% -52.4% 29% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records