Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:37:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a3c…89e7
crypto · 16 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$11 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses6 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)14 / 16
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 2 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 63¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+59%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$6
other 31% −$4
sports 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-39.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 14 -33.5% -39.8% 43% 43% -50.1%
≤90d 14 -33.5% -39.8% 43% 43% -50.1%
all 14 -33.5% -39.8% 43% 43% -50.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.8% 43% -50.1%
10% -45.6% 29% -54.8%
15% -50.8% 21% -59.2%
20% -55.6% 21% -63.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.37 · official $6.37 (match) · 29 history records