Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:14:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a49…6094
other · 65 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$18 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses32 / 32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
History coverage95d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$17
14 days+$26
30 days+$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? Down 67¢ 18¢ $14 $4 −$10 (-73%)
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? Up 57¢ 82¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+44%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $70 −$8 -11%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $42 +$2 +4%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $21 +$8 +39%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $52 +$15 +29%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $16 +$15 +94%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $22 −$1 -5%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $26 −$7 -26%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $11 −$6 -52%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $34 +$7 +22%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 28? May 28 $31 +$3 +9%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $33 +$3 +9%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $34 +$8 +24%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 22? May 22 $24 $0 +0%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $37 +$19 +53%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 20? May 20 $13 −$10 -78%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $15 +$2 +15%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 18? May 18 $34 +$22 +64%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15? May 15 $20 +$3 +13%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 14? May 15 $12 −$8 -63%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 13? May 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12? May 12 $12 $0 -2%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11? May 11 $56 −$17 -30%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 8? May 08 $73 +$11 +15%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7? May 07 $25 +$53 +211%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6? May 06 $8 −$8 -96%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5? May 06 $17 −$16 -92%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 4? May 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4? May 05 $15 −$15 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 1? May 02 $23 −$14 -58%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 30? May 01 $26 −$11 -42%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 28? Apr 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 27? Apr 28 $39 +$1 +2%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 24? Apr 25 $34 −$19 -56%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 23? Apr 23 $12 −$12 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 22? Apr 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 21? Apr 22 $20 −$1 -4%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 20? Apr 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 17? Apr 18 $50 +$3 +6%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 16? Apr 17 $72 +$11 +16%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 15? Apr 16 $47 +$2 +4%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 14? Apr 15 $23 +$22 +96%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 10? Apr 14 $72 +$14 +20%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 13? Apr 13 $44 −$10 -23%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 9? Apr 10 $17 −$10 -56%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 8? Apr 09 $37 +$3 +8%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 7? Apr 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 6? Apr 06 $32 −$7 -21%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 2? Apr 03 $26 +$4 +14%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 1? Apr 02 $28 −$10 -34%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 31? Apr 01 $14 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 31¢ $2 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 42¢ $2 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 50¢ $4 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 46¢ $0 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 43¢ $4 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 57¢ $7 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 42¢ $7 1h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 98¢ $1 20h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 98¢ $2 20h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 0¢ $0 20h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 1¢ $0 20h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 96¢ $7 20h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 2¢ $0 20h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 9¢ $5 21h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 39¢ $3 24h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 35¢ $7 24h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 65¢ $6 24h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 65¢ $1 24h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 48¢ $6 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 57¢ $7 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 36¢ $5 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 64¢ $7 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 40¢ $1 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 58¢ $3 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 44¢ $3 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 45¢ $8 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 51¢ $3 25h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 63¢ $7 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +15.3% +4.3% 75% 50% -1.1%
≤30d 20 +6.6% -3.6% 65% 45% +1.4%
≤90d 60 -14.0% -22.2% 50% 32% -9.7%
all 64 -12.3% -20.7% 50% 33% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.7% 33% -8.5%
10% -28.3% 17% -17.2%
15% -35.2% 14% -25.2%
20% -41.6% 11% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.66 · official $5.66 (match) · 716 history records