Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a4b…a0c7
sports · 296 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$460 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$518 · open −$58
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,231
Realized+$518
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses251 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$850
Open positions3
Markets (closed)293 / 296
History coverage87d
Avg bet$778
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,257
7 days−$884
14 days−$71
30 days+$554
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $581 $585 +$4 (+1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 74¢ $414 $376 −$38 (-9%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 92¢ 84¢ $294 $270 −$24 (-8%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 98¢ $1,048 $0 −$1,048 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $385 −$85 -22%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2,305 +$173 +8%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $503 −$503 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $809 +$4 +0%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,049 −$1,048 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $349 +$1 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $204 +$6 +3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2,477 +$87 +4%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $100 −$4 -4%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $1,002 −$15 -2%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $100 +$12 +12%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $647 +$8 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $3,125 +$35 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $926 +$39 +4%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $274 +$26 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,147 +$7 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $194 +$13 +6%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $428 +$12 +3%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $1,745 +$21 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $549 +$14 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $463 +$3 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $328 +$15 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $605 +$18 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $41 $0 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $142 +$8 +6%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $128 +$4 +3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $213 +$7 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $106 +$1 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $92 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $3,243 +$19 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,073 +$13 +1%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $100 +$10 +10%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $334 +$16 +5%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $315 +$10 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $2,989 +$11 +0%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $496 +$4 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 10 $2,113 −$53 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $346 +$18 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $379 +$35 +9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $480 +$10 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $92 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $597 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,602 +$32 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $837 +$53 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $559 +$48 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $686 +$31 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? Jun 07 $193 +$7 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% −$991
crypto 39% +$1,477
world 7% +$897
tech 3% −$9
other 2% −$959
finance 1% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 63¢ $65 1m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $94 6m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 91¢ $201 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 81¢ $47 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 78¢ $36 31m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 58¢ $235 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 73¢ $302 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $9 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $407 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $484 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $98 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 89¢ $169 5h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 89¢ $4 5h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 89¢ $640 5h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 88¢ $809 5h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 93¢ $2,305 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $12 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $36 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1,001 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $41 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $99 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $205 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $0 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $98 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $251 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 97¢ $97 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -1.9% -11.3% 85% 2% -11.6%
≤30d 126 +0.1% -9.4% 86% 3% -9.1%
≤90d 293 +0.1% -9.4% 86% 8% -9.3%
all 293 +0.1% -9.4% 86% 8% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 8% -9.3%
10% -18.1% 1% -18.0%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 1% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,230.82 · official $1,230.82 (match) · 2019 history records